Analysis of connection demand in 2008-2011

Permenergo

Year Requests submitted Contracts concluded Contracts executed
  pcs MW pcs MW pcs MW
2008 6 662 652 5 426 365 4 792 78
2009 8 226 257 6 824 223 5 780 144
2010 11 603 258 9 136 198 6 919 101
2011 12 321 416 10 840 285 8 908 111

In 2011 Permenergo branch received 12 321 requests (+6% on 2010, +50% on 2009 and +85% on 2008) with overall output 416 MW (+61% on 2010, +62% on 2009 and -36% on 2008). There was an upsurge of requests submitted by natural persons with output up to 15 kW – up to 9 705 requests (+12.6% on 2010, +53.4% on 2009 and +122.8% on 2008) and demanded output up to 98 MW (+29% on 2010, +99.5% on 2009 and +185% on 2008).

Dynamics of submitted requests without natural persons is characterized by the following:

  • Decrease of requests by 12.3% on 2010, but there is 37.6% growth on 2009 and 13.3% on 2008 (2 616 requests in 2011, 2 984 requests in 2010, 1 900 requests in 2009 and и 2 309 requests in 2008);
  • Increase of demanded output by 74.6% on 2010, by 52.9% on 2009 and its 58% decrease on 2008 (318.1 MW in 2011, 182.1 MW in 2010, 208 MW in 2009 and 759 MW in 2008).

The oppositely directed tendencies, in comparison to 2008, can be explained by decreasing number of large applicants (demanding output over 750 kW on 6-110 kV voltage level). Besides, many applicants, following Federal Law #261-FZ dd. 23.11.2009 on energy saving and energy efficiency increase, were careful with demanded output, requesting the required output without reserves. It should be noted that in 2011, in comparison to 2010, there was a decrease of requests from legal entities and individual entrepreneurs with connected output up to 15 kW by 22.3% (1 938 requests in 2011, 2 494 requests in 2010), in comparison to 2009, there was an increase by 47.2% and 76.9% on 2008 (1 316 requests in 2009, 1 095 requests in 2008).

At the same time output requested by such applicants in 2011 increased by 2% on 2010, by 69.4% on 2009, by +194.5% on 2008 (17.1MW in 2011, 16.8 MW in 2010, 10.1 MW in 2009 and 5.8 MW in 2008). This fact can be explained by the changes in legislation on connection (Russian Government Decree #334 dd. 21.04.2009): connection fee for legal entities and individual entrepreneurs requesting output up to 15 kW decreased down to RUR 550, including VAT. In 2008 such applicants tried to decrease connected output in the request to minimize own connection expenses, since 2009 (following the changes in legislation) such applicants began to demand more output within 15 kW.

Sverdlovenergo

Year Requests submitted Contracts concluded Contracts executed
  pcs MW pcs MW pcs MW
2008 3 308 1 059 1 825 135 1 305 27
2009 4 373 246 3 567 163 1 974 30
2010 6 244 335 5 308 194 2 364 125
2011 8 552 1 247 7 592 394 4 805 167

In 2011 Sverdlovenergo branch received 8 552 requests (+36.7% on 2010, +95.6% on 2009 and +158.5% on 2008) with overall output 1 247 MW (+372% on 2010, +506% on 2009 and +117% on 2008). There was an upsurge of requests from natural persons demanding output up to 15 kW up to 6 481 requests (+29.8% on 2010, +209.2% on 2009 and +487.6% on 2008) and demanded output up to 73.6 MW (+41% on 2010, +282% on 2009 (26.03 MW) and +618.4% on 2008). It should be also noted that there was an increase of requests from legal entities with connected output up to 15 kW by 176% on 2010, by 180% on 2009 and by 173% on 2008 (1 452 requests in 2011, 824 requests in 2010, 803 requests in 2009 and 837 requests in 2008). The increase is mainly due to priorities given to small business for its development: connection fee for legal entities and individual entrepreneurs demanding up to 15 kW decreased to RUR 550, including VAT. At the same time output demanded by the applicants in 2011 increased by 160% on 2010, by 177% on 2009 and by 2 050% on 2008 (11.7 MW in 2011, 7.3 MW in 2010, 6.6 MW in 2009 and 5.7 MW in 2008). I.e. in 2008-2009 such applicants tried to decrease connected facilities in the request to minimize own connection expenses, in 2011 the applicants requested more capacity.

Chelyabenergo

Year Requests submitted Contracts concluded Contracts executed
  pcs MW pcs MW pcs MW
2008 4 166 338 3 369 268 1 836 45
2009 3 842 198 3 274 121 1 742 37
2010 4 388 287 4 136 193 2 245 46
2011 7 062 755 6 042 300 2 623 73

In 2011 Chelyabenergo branch received 7 062 requests (+60.9% on 2010, +83.8% on 2009 and +69.5% on 2008) with overall output 755.81 MW (+163.2% on 2010, +280.1% on 2009 (198.84 MW) and +123.2% on 2008). There was an upsurge of requests from natural persons with output up to 15 kW up to 4 613 requests (+72% on 2010, +105.6% on 2009 and +105.3% on 2008) and demanded output up to 49.53 MW (+75.6% on 2010, +200.1% on 2009 and +217.7% on 2008).

Dynamics of submitted requests without natural persons is characterized by the following:

  • Increase of requests by 43.6% on 2010, by 53.3% on 2009 and by 27.6% on 2008 (2 449 requests in 2011, 1 706 requests in 2010, 1 598 requests in 2009 and 1 919 requests in 2008);
  • Increase of demanded output by 172.7% on 2010, by 287.3% on 2009 and by 118.6% on 2008 (706.28 MW in 2011, 258.99 MW in 2010, 182.34 MW in 2009 and 323.04 MW in 2008).

The unidirectional tendencies, in comparison to 2008-2010, can be explained by economic recovery, including increase of the number of large applicants (demanding output over 750 kW on 6-110 kV voltage level). It should be noted that in 2011 there was a boost of requests from legal entities and individual entrepreneurs with connected output up to 15 kW (1 551 requests in 2011, 1 032 requests in 2010, 1 052 requests in 2009 and 1 061 requests in 2008), at the same time demanded output requested by such applicants in 2011 decreased by 58.9% on 2010, by 123.4% on 2009 and by 191.8% on 2008. (14.3 MW in 2011, 9.0 MW in 2010, 6.4 MW in 2009 and 4.9 MW in 2008).

The fact can be explained by the changes in legislation on connection (Russian Government Decree #334 dd. 21.04.2009): connection fee for legal entities and individual entrepreneurs requesting output up to 15 kW decreased down to RUR 550, including VAT. In 2008 such applicants tried to decrease connected output in the request to minimize own connection expenses, since 2009 (following the changes in legislation) such applicants began to demand more output. Average value of demanded output grew by 5.7% on 2010, by 50.8% on 2009 and by 95.7% on 2008 (9.2 kW in 2011, 8.7 kW in 2010, 6.1 kW in 2009 and 4.7 kW in 2008).

Connection of generating facilities to networks of IDGC of Urals in 2011

  Requests submitted* Contracts concluded Contracts executed
  pcs MW pcs MW pcs MW
Permenergo 0 0,00 1 230,00 1 124,00
Sverdlovenergo 5 663,60 2 10,10 0 0,00
Chelyabenergo 0 0,00 0 0,00 0 0,00
IDGC of Urals 5 663,60 3 240,10 1 124,00